Forecasting the development of China–Europe freight flows through Central Asia and Uzbekistan’s role as a transport and logistics hub

Abstract

The article examines current trends in the development of transport corridors between China and Europe through Central Asia under the conditions of global economic transformation and increasing geopolitical instability. Particular attention is paid to the role of the Republic of Uzbekistan as a key link in the Eurasian transport and logistics system. The dynamics of freight flows along the Trans-Caspian route, as well as the factors influencing the development of transit transportation, are analyzed. Based on statistical data and materials from international organizations, the current state of the region’s transport infrastructure is assessed. Using a scenario-based approach, a forecast of freight flows up to 2035 is developed. It is established that Uzbekistan has significant potential to become a transport and logistics hub through the development of multimodal transportation, digitalization, and integration into global supply chains.